Reddit user posts BTC power law curve chart through October 1, 2026
A Reddit user on r/Bitcoin posted a chart of a BTC power law curve derived from publicly available daily BTC closing prices, generated with a Python program written with AI help. The post describes a 95% confidence interval band and marks halvings and other events on the chart.
Why “Rumor”
- Only community or trader posts: r/Bitcoin
0 independent source groups across 1 posts · evidence score 9/100. How labels work
Market around the story
| Asset | Price at first report | 6h before | 1h before | 1h after | 6h after | 1h move vs normal | 24h volume vs median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $84,842 | +0.08% | +0.18% | −0.10% | +1.3% | 0.3σ | 1.2× |
Returns are measured from the moment the story first appeared. “vs normal” compares the move with the asset's typical hourly move over the previous 30 days.
What the sources claim
-
The chart is derived from publicly available BTC daily ending prices and produced using a Python program written with AI help. BTC
“This is all derived from publicly available BTC daily ending price and produced using a Python program I wrote with AI help.”
r/Bitcoin -
The band on the chart shows a 95% confidence interval given all the historical data. BTC
“The band shows the 95% confidence interval given ALL the historical data.”
r/Bitcoin -
The poster has not found another crypto asset obeying this power law.
“I haven't found another crypto asset obeying this power law.”
r/Bitcoin
Sources
- The BTC Power Law Curve from Beginning to 10/1/2026 → reddit.com
Summary and claims extracted by deepseek/deepseek-flash with prompt analyze-story@3 on 2026-10-02 02:10 UTC. Labels are computed from the sources, not by the model.