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Markets Rumor

Reddit user posts BTC power law curve chart through October 1, 2026

A Reddit user on r/Bitcoin posted a chart of a BTC power law curve derived from publicly available daily BTC closing prices, generated with a Python program written with AI help. The post describes a 95% confidence interval band and marks halvings and other events on the chart.

Why “Rumor”

  • Only community or trader posts: r/Bitcoin

0 independent source groups across 1 posts · evidence score 9/100. How labels work

Market around the story

AssetPrice at first report6h before1h before1h after6h after1h move vs normal24h volume vs median
BTC $84,842 +0.08% +0.18% −0.10% +1.3% 0.3σ 1.2×

Returns are measured from the moment the story first appeared. “vs normal” compares the move with the asset's typical hourly move over the previous 30 days.

What the sources claim

  1. The chart is derived from publicly available BTC daily ending prices and produced using a Python program written with AI help. BTC

    “This is all derived from publicly available BTC daily ending price and produced using a Python program I wrote with AI help.”
    r/Bitcoin
  2. The band on the chart shows a 95% confidence interval given all the historical data. BTC

    “The band shows the 95% confidence interval given ALL the historical data.”
    r/Bitcoin
  3. The poster has not found another crypto asset obeying this power law.

    “I haven't found another crypto asset obeying this power law.”
    r/Bitcoin

Sources

Summary and claims extracted by deepseek/deepseek-flash with prompt analyze-story@3 on 2026-10-02 02:10 UTC. Labels are computed from the sources, not by the model.