Methodology

The rules SocialTalkX applies to every story, stated so they can be checked and cited. How it works tells the same story in plain words.

What a story is

A story is a group of posts from different sources that describe the same event. Sources are read every ten minutes; posts are grouped by meaning, not by matching words. A story's time is the moment its earliest post was published, called the first report.

Claims

An AI model lists the specific claims the posts make, writes the summary and picks one category. Every claim must quote the post it came from word for word; a claim without a matching quote is discarded. The model does not decide the label.

Independent sources

Sources that belong together, such as an outlet's feed and its own social account, form one group and count once. Aggregators, community forums and traders never count as corroboration, because they relay or comment on what others publish. A post that only disputes the story counts against it, not for it.

Labels

The label is computed from who published the story. The rules are applied in this order, and the first that matches decides.

Contradicted: A source disputes the story and is trusted at least as much as the most trusted source reporting it.
Confirmed: Any one of: a primary source (the issuer, exchange or regulator concerned) published it; on-chain or flow data backs it; a security researcher and one more independent source report it; or at least three independent sources report it and one of them has a trust weight of 80/100 or more.
Unverified: Two or more independent sources report it without any of the confirmations above, or a single newswire, research desk or security researcher with a trust weight of 60/100 or more reports it alone.
Rumor: Everything else: one lightly trusted source, or only community and trader posts.

A story with no claim that could be tied to a quote is marked as insufficient evidence and is not listed. A rumor that rests on a single post is listed but kept out of search engines until another post joins it. Labels are recomputed whenever a new source joins a story, so a rumor can become confirmed and a confirmed story can become contradicted.

Evidence score

The score from 0 to 100 next to a label is the chance that at least one of the story's source groups is right, treating the groups as independent. Each group counts with its best source: the source's trust weight multiplied by a weight for its kind, from 1 for a primary source down to 0 for an aggregator. A story confirmed by a primary source scores at least 90, and one confirmed by on-chain data or a security researcher at least 80. A contradicted story keeps 30% of its score. The label does not depend on the score.

Price reaction

For each coin, large US stock or index a story is about, the price is read at the first report and compared with the price 6 hours and 1 hour before it, and 1 hour and 6 hours after it. The numbers are filled in once the 6 hours after the first report have passed.

Normal hourly move. The standard deviation of the asset's hourly returns over the 30 days before the story.
Move vs normal. The 1-hour move divided by the normal hourly move, written as σ. Above 2σ counts as unusual.
Stocks and indices are measured in trading hours. With the market closed, the price at first report is the last close and “1 hour after” is the first trading hour that follows.
Volume. For coins, 24-hour volume six hours after the first report over its 30-day median.

A move after a story is not shown to be caused by it. Several stories about one asset in the same hours share the same move.

Moved before the news

A story carries this flag when an asset it is about moved more than 2 times its normal hourly move in the hour before the first report. A stock or index is only flagged when the market was open at the first report.

Source track records

A source's page counts the analysed stories it posted about and how they were labelled. “First to report” counts the stories at least two independent groups covered where this source's post was the earliest. A track record with fewer than 5 stories is shown but kept out of search engines.

Limits

A label describes how a report is sourced. It is not a statement that the report is true, and never a view on an asset's value.
Only sources in the catalog are read, so an event nobody in it reported is missing.
Summaries and claims are extracted by AI from titles and short excerpts and can miss context that the full article gives.
The first report is the earliest post we collected, which can be later than the event itself.

How to cite

Cite a story by its headline, its label, the time of its first report and its address, for example: “SocialTalkX, headline, labelled Confirmed, first reported 12 October 2026, https://socialtalkx.com/story/…”. Because labels can change, give the date you read it. This page can be cited as “SocialTalkX methodology, https://socialtalkx.com/methodology”.

SocialTalkX summarises what public sources report and how markets moved around it. It is information, not financial advice.