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Prediction Markets Unverified First seen

Analysis: Parlays Drive Kalshi's $3.9 Billion Trading Days

Bitcoin.com's analysis, reported by The Defiant, claims that parlays or combos supplied roughly 70% of weekend notional volume on Kalshi, driving $3.9 billion trading days. The same analysis notes that this notional measure is not cash spent by buyers or a count of new users.

Why “Unverified”

  • Reported by The Defiant alone, with no second source or primary confirmation yet

1 independent source group across 1 post · evidence score 52/100. How labels work

What the sources claim

  1. Combos supplied roughly 70% of weekend notional volume on Kalshi, according to Bitcoin.com's analysis.

    “Combos supplied roughly 70% of weekend notional volume, according to Bitcoin.com’s analysis”
    The Defiant
  2. The notional volume measure is not cash spent by buyers or a count of new users.

    “that measure is not cash spent by buyers or a count of new users”
    The Defiant

Sources

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Summary and claims extracted by AI with prompt analyze-story@5 on 2026-10-15 11:51 UTC. Labels are computed from the sources, not by the model.