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Macro Rumor First seen

December Fed rate-hike odds fall to 70.1% as stock sell-off continues

A r/stocks post reports that CME FedWatch data shows the odds of a quarter-point Fed rate hike on Dec. 9 fell to 70.1%, down from 82.7% on Wednesday and 79.9% a week ago, as the equity sell-off eased pressure to hike. The same post states the chance of holding rates steady rose to 29.9% from 17.3% on Wednesday and 20.1% a week ago, and cites the current range as 3.75%-4.00%.

Why “Rumor”

  • Only community or trader posts: r/stocks

0 independent source groups across 1 post · evidence score 9/100. How labels work

What the sources claim

  1. The odds of a quarter-point Fed rate hike in December fell to 70.1%, down from 82.7% on Wednesday and 79.9% a week ago, per CME FedWatch.

    “have fallen to 70.1%, down from 82.7% on Wednesday and 79.9% a week ago”
    r/stocks

  2. The chance the Fed keeps rates unchanged in December stands at 29.9%, up from 17.3% on Wednesday and 20.1% a week ago.

    “keep rates where they are in December stands at 29.9% at midday Thursday, up from 17.3% on Wednesday”
    r/stocks

  3. The current fed funds range is 3.75%-4.00%.

    “from their current 3.75%-4.00% range”
    r/stocks

  4. The Fed's last meeting of the year is on Dec. 9.

    “at its last meeting of the year, on Dec. 9”
    r/stocks

  5. The equity market sell-off is easing pressure on the Fed to hike rates.

    “The equity market sell-off is easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates”
    r/stocks

Sources

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Summary and claims extracted by AI with prompt analyze-story@5 on 2026-11-06 01:30 UTC. Labels are computed from the sources, not by the model.