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CoinDesk: Bitcoin averaged 50% gain, S&P 500 15% in year after midterms

CoinDesk reports that bitcoin has historically risen 50% on average and the S&P 500 15% in the year after midterms, with both producing positive returns. The post notes bitcoin's pattern could also be explained by the four-year halving cycles.

Why “Unverified”

  • Reported by CoinDesk alone, with no second source or primary confirmation yet

1 independent source group across 1 post · evidence score 60/100. How labels work

Market around the story

  • BTC Still being measured. The price reaction is recorded six hours after the first report, around .
  • SPX Still being measured. The price reaction is recorded once the market has traded for six hours after the first report.

What the sources claim

  1. Bitcoin has historically gained 50% on average in the year after midterms. BTC

    “Bitcoin has soared 50% on average after midterms”
    CoinDesk

  2. The S&P 500 has historically gained 15% in the year after midterms. SPX

    “The S&P 500 has gained 15%”
    CoinDesk

  3. Both bitcoin and the S&P 500 have historically produced positive returns in the year after midterms. BTC

    “Both bitcoin and the S&P 500 have historically produced positive returns in a year after midterms”
    CoinDesk

  4. Bitcoin's post-midterm pattern could also be explained by the four-year halving cycles. BTC

    “BTC's pattern, however, could also be explained by the four-year halving cycles”
    CoinDesk

Sources

More on BTC

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Summary and claims extracted by AI with prompt analyze-story@5 on 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC. Labels are computed from the sources, not by the model.