BTC 
ETH 
BNB 
XRP 
SOL 
TRX Post cites 10% S&P drops in 13 of last 19 midterm years
A Reddit r/stocks post claims that in 13 of the last 19 midterm years, the S&P fell 10% or more at some point during the year. It cites 2018 as an example, saying the index slid almost 15% between Election Day and Christmas Eve while the Fed raised rates, and notes the vote is Nov 3.
Why “Rumor”
- Only community or trader posts: r/stocks
0 independent source groups across 1 post · evidence score 9/100. How labels work
Market around the story
- SPX Still being measured. The price reaction is recorded once the market has traded for six hours after the first report.
What the sources claim
-
The S&P fell 10% or more at some point in 13 of the last 19 midterm years. SPX
“In 13 of the last 19 midterm yrs, S&P fell 10% or more at some point during the year.”
r/stocks -
In 2018 the S&P slid almost 15% between Election Day and Christmas Eve while the Fed raised rates. SPX
“It slid almost 15% between Election Day <> Christmas Eve, with the Fed raising rates at the same time.”
r/stocks -
The midterm year is more often than not the weakest of a president's four years.
“The midterm year is the weakest of a president’s 4 more often than not.”
r/stocks
Sources
More on SPX
Summary and claims extracted by AI with prompt analyze-story@5 on 2026-10-26 11:50 UTC. Labels are computed from the sources, not by the model.